Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual20% 35.9%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado14/05/26, 07:31 UTC31/12/26, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
KalshiConditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
Manifold MarketsWill any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI safety community successfully advocates for a global AI development slowdown by December 2027
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegras
AI diffusion is measured as the share of people between ages of 15 and 64 who have used a generative AI product.
- This measure is derived from aggregated and anonymized Microsoft telemetry and adjusted to reflect differences in OS and device-market share, internet penetration, and country population.
- This data is measured to be 17.8% at Q1 2026.
- https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/corporate-responsibility/topics/ai-economy-institute/reports/global-ai-adoption-2026-q1
- This market will be resolved based on future data published by Microsoft AI Diffusion Report.
