Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMore than 10x 36%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado14/07/26, 00:30 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the market for AI Inference chips be 2X larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the market for AI Inference chips be 5X larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI inference compute crunch in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the market for AI inference chips be MUCH larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenRouter AI token usage in October
KalshiOpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- Primary metric: The year-over-year growth multiplier in global AI inference token usage (measured either as total annual tokens processed or average monthly/daily tokens processed) from the full year 2029 to the full year 2030.
- Answer options:
- the named outcome: Growth is less than a 2-fold increase (a multiplier of < 2.0x, i.e., < 100% growth).
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 2.0x but less than 5.0x.
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 5.0x but less than 10.0x.
