Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
InflationPolíticaOne-OffCommoditiesUS PoliticsEleição1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51%
Previsores
36
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado5/04/26, 18:51 UTC5/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PredictItRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if both of the following conditions are met:
- The national average price of a gallon of regular gasoline reaches or exceeds $4.50 at any point between April 5, 2026, and the date of the 2026 midterm elections.
- This data will be verified using the AAA Gas Prices national average tracker.
- The Democratic Party holds a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the results of the 2026 midterm elections.
- The market resolves to "NO" if gasoline prices do not reach or exceed $4.50 during the specified timeframe, or if the Democratic Party fails to secure control of either chamber of Congress.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 323,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 523 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 22 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,4 mil
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
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- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? é resolvido?
- Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria