Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
InflaçãoPolíticaOne-OffCommoditiesPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202611d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.8%
Previsores
40
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado5/04/26, 18:51 UTC5/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsIf the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed, will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats control after the 2026 midterms?
PredictItRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if both of the following conditions are met:
- The national average price of a gallon of regular gasoline reaches or exceeds $4.50 at any point between April 5, 2026, and the date of the 2026 midterm elections.
- This data will be verified using the AAA Gas Prices national average tracker.
- The Democratic Party holds a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the results of the 2026 midterm elections.
- The market resolves to "NO" if gasoline prices do not reach or exceed $4.50 during the specified timeframe, or if the Democratic Party fails to secure control of either chamber of Congress.
