Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.7%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado28/10/25, 08:38 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold MarketsWill the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Manifold MarketsNuclear conflict in the world in 2026?
FutuurU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
PolymarketUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine announce a publicly agreed, mutually binding ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution criteria: Official announcements from both governments or wide consensus of credible media reporting (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) confirming an official ceasefire agreement.
- Humanitarian pauses or unilateral ceasefires do not count.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 470,8 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de End of Russian-Ukraine conflict in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando End of Russian-Ukraine conflict in 2026? é resolvido?
- End of Russian-Ukraine conflict in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como End of Russian-Ukraine conflict in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine announce a publicly agreed, mutually binding ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026.