Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.5%
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado28/10/25, 08:38 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine announce a publicly agreed, mutually binding ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution criteria: Official announcements from both governments or wide consensus of credible media reporting (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) confirming an official ceasefire agreement.
- Humanitarian pauses or unilateral ceasefires do not count.