Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNo, nothing that creator considers wild happened 95%+45.0ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+45.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
14/09/26, 17:48 UTC14/10/26, 17:45 UTC
Tendências
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Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin) on X
- This tweet suggest something wild just happened at Open AI.
- Fact or crap? What happened?
- Feel free to add other answer choices.
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- Update 2026-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the RSI (Recursive Self-Improvement) option:
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
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- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI??
- A Manifold Markets cota No, nothing that creator considers wild happened em 95% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? é resolvido?
- Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin) on X