The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 80.9% em 1 de novembro de 2026.

Quando The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 é resolvido?

The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 15 de janeiro de 2027.

Como The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026

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POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-1.0pt56.4%
• Anthropic+1.9pt43.6%
• ByteDance0%

+9 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 6,4 mi

Volume 24h

€ 114,1 mil

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-2.6pt50.5%
• Claude+0.3pt38.7%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-2.5pt54.5%
• Anthropic+2.0pt37.4%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 mais resultados

KALSHI

Google market share this week

• Above 20.2%+6.0pt3.5%
• Above 17.3%+1.0pt1.5%
• Above 19.1%1%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-4.0pt28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.9pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.1pt17.1%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1

• Above 187T tokens+2.0pt99%
• Above 186T tokens+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 183T tokens

• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026