Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore May 2027 93.7%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+43.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado28/10/26, 22:03 UTC1/05/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
The '+' means any version at or above 5.6 counts: if Anthropic skips 5.6 and releases Claude Fable 5.7 or Fable 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude Fable 5.6, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
