PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
$40+ 70%+1.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
$40+ 70%+1.0ptQualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
250,4 €
Liquidez
929,7 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
24/09/26, 08:53 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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PolymarketClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Claude Fable be released?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Fable model (5.2+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
- The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public.
- An introductory price qualifies.
