Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAnalytical Chemistry 33.8%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado2/01/26, 15:15 UTC29/09/26, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Chemistry Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.
- Multiple markets can, and probably will, resolve Yes.
- You can request fields I might have forgotten, but I'm not doing too niche things I would have difficulty resolving.
- In case of ambiguity, will discuss in the comments and might resolve N/A. There is some element of subjectivity in the judgement of course, therefore l will not participate to stay impartial.
- I am versed in the field of Chemistry, and will use this knowledge to resolve fairly to the best of my ability.
- I will provide my reasoning on resolution.
Mercados abertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 226,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 125,2 mil
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,6 mi
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 108,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket?
- A Manifold Markets cota Analytical Chemistry em 34% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket é resolvido?
- Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket deverá ser resolvido em 29 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Chemistry Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.