By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year?
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Desatualizado2/02/26, 01:41 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Intelligence bar
- "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent intelligence" is defined as any commercially available model scoring the same as Gemini 3 Pro on ECI or better
- Currently this is 154, but the bar will track any changes in ECI methodology that might change the 3 Pro score.
- Cost is defined as the price for 1m input tokens plus 1m output tokens for the cheapest model that passes the quality bar, at the generally-available API pricing tier for that model.
- At time of writing, 3-pro preview costs $2/Mtok input plus $12/Mtok output, so $14 is the reference cost basis.
- E.g. a future qualifying model that costs $1/Mtok input plus $3/MTok output would resolve as 4/14 = 0.286... thus 0.2x-0.5x.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year??
- A Manifold Markets cota < 0.05x em 35% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year? é resolvido?
- By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Intelligence bar