By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump?
US PoliticsOne-OffEsportesCrime & JusticeGolf1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 60.9%
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5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado13/09/26, 11:12 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is another confirmed, deliberate assassination attempt on Donald Trump occurring between September 13, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, an event must meet the following criteria:
- Target and Intent: The act must be a physical, deliberate attempt to take the life of Donald Trump.
- Lethal Means: The attempt must involve a weapon or method capable of causing death (e.g., firearms, explosives, poisoning, or direct physical assault).
- Official Characterization: The incident must be officially characterized as an "assassination attempt" or "attempted assassination" by a major U.S. federal or state law enforcement agency (such as the FBI, U.S. Secret Service, or Department of Justice), or result in federal charges explicitly for the attempted assassination of Donald Trump (e.g., under 18 U.S. Code § 1751).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 61% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump? é resolvido?
- By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria