In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]
PolíticaManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualA streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality 75.3%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado27/04/26, 00:39 UTC31/12/50, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elon Musk reveal that the attempted assassination of Donald Trump on July 13, 2024 was a false flag?
Manifold MarketsWas the Trump Assassination attempt staged?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?
Manifold MarketsWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegras
Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?
- At some point in the year 2050, I will identify a member of each listed class and ask them whether they think any assassination attempt targeting Donald Trump during his presidency was an operation planned by Trump and/or his close allies.
- I will target people who I think have a low chance of being aware of this market.
- I will try to get them to land on a percentage chance.
- I will then resolve the answers to those percentages.
- If the subject is overall noncooperative, I will likely just choose another member of the class.