In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]
PolíticaManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualA streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality 75.3%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado27/04/26, 00:39 UTC31/12/50, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?
- At some point in the year 2050, I will identify a member of each listed class and ask them whether they think any assassination attempt targeting Donald Trump during his presidency was an operation planned by Trump and/or his close allies.
- I will target people who I think have a low chance of being aware of this market.
- I will try to get them to land on a percentage chance.
- I will then resolve the answers to those percentages.
- If the subject is overall noncooperative, I will likely just choose another member of the class.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]?
- A Manifold Markets cota A streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] é resolvido?
- In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2050.
- Como In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?