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  3. Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

0.5% (24h)YearlyPolíticaUS Politics6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 50%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

44,8 €

Liquidez

3,6 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

38.0% / 62.0%

Spread

63.2%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+3.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

31/03/26, 20:2331/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes50%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.