will trump be assasinated in US?
CommoditiesOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleiçãoMiddle EastEsportesCrime & JusticeGolf3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.4%
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33
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado7/03/26, 01:13 UTC31/12/26, 01:12 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is assassinated (killed by an intentional act of violence) at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets and official sources.
- The market resolves NO if Trump survives the entire year 2026 without being assassinated.
- Trump survived assassination attempts in Butler, Pennsylvania in July 2024 and West Palm Beach, Florida two months later, with the second attacker sentenced to life in prison.
- A deadly confrontation at Mar-a-Lago in February 2026 represents the latest in a string of high-profile security incidents, with former Secret Service officials noting Trump is "the most threatened president in the history of the U.S." Recent attacks have been characterized as "super low-tech," with lone actors posing particular challenges to presidential protection.
Mercados abertos
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 414,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 265,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 mais resultados
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 126,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 126,9 mil
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 113,1 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 112,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,6 mil
- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de will trump be assasinated in US??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando will trump be assasinated in US? é resolvido?
- will trump be assasinated in US? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como will trump be assasinated in US? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria