Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 52.9% em 29 de outubro de 2026.

Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA?

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Atualizado há 10 minutos

13/08/23, 21:17 UTC1/01/30, 04:59 UTC

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This question will resolve as YES if any treatment for celiac disease successfully completes Phase 3 trials and is subsequently approved by the FDA.

If the process for drug approval changes between now and 2030 such that treatments do not follow the same trial process, this question will resolve as N/A. Otherwise, if the existing trials structure does not change and no treatment is approved, this question will resolve as NO.
Here is some additional information: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/01/well/celiac-disease-treatment.html