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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

11.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 17%-11.0%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

5,1 €

Liquidez

73,8 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

16.0% / 19.0%

Spread

18.8%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

14/05/26, 2:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before Jan 1, 202717%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

1.0%6m
Sim
Sim
-0.0%12%
Não
Não
+0.0%89%
52 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploLiquidez média
Volume total493,2 mil €
Volume 24h238,8 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An approval is defined as:
  • For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
  • The following do NOT constitute approvals:

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An approval is defined as:
  • For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
  • The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
  • The following do NOT constitute approvals: