Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 88.4%
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87
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado24/09/23, 01:11 UTC2/01/00, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
"Concious" is defined in the standard way: There is something it is like to be a baby.
- They have qualia, they have subjective experiences.
- Whatever it is that adult human philosophers believe themselves to have.
- This is about the average human baby, 1 week after birth.
- The existance of some outlier babies is not relevant.
- This market resolves once neuroscience is solved, and it seems we're going to have as good an answer as we're ever going to get.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Are babies conscious??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 88% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Are babies conscious? é resolvido?
- Are babies conscious? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Are babies conscious? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: "Concious" is defined in the standard way: There is something it is like to be a baby.