Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 86.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado28/06/26, 14:02 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados abertos
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- € 102,7 mil
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26 é resolvido?
- An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: LMArena, text, overall, style control on.