Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOct 13 to Oct 19 66.2%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+46.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado5/10/26, 10:04 UTC16/11/26, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
When will Reflection AI (the Nvidia-backed lab behind reflection.ai) publicly release the weights of its first open-weight language model?
- Background: On Oct 4, 2026, Axios reported, citing people familiar with the plans, that Reflection is preparing to release its first open-weight model "soon", aimed at competing with the top Chinese open models (DeepSeek, Qwen).
- Reflection has not confirmed a date or a name.
- What counts as a release: the model's weights become downloadable by any member of the public.
- Hosting on Hugging Face (or a similar public host) counts, even behind a standard click-through license.
- It does not count if access is limited to a waitlist, selected partners, or individually approved applicants, if only an API or chat app ships with no weights, or if the release is only an announcement, paper or benchmark.
