🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBitcoin reaches 180K usd or more 98.2%Líder entre 100 opções
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multiple choice
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Desatualizado4/01/26, 04:14 UTC5/01/27, 03:40 UTC
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README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
- 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 2% (happens next)
- 100th event: 100% (happens latest)
- Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
- Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28" should be Nov 27 (the correct date for Thanksgiving Day in 2025).
Mercados abertos
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- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or more em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE) é resolvido?
- 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE) deverá ser resolvido em 5 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards: