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  3. ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)
Manifold Markets

⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)

One-OffSociety & CultureTecnologiaPolítica6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
grok 5 releases 87.5%
Líder entre 40 opções
Previsores

28

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 11 minutos

2/01/26, 5:461/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

grok 5 releases88%

Regras

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

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Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

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<40: 67%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will "Binging" replace "Googling" as a term for online search by 2030?

185,7 €
Sim: 3.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

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Barack Obama: 4.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,750.12-0.76%EthereumETH$1,660.33-1.25%SolanaSOL$67.34-1.38%DogecoinDOGE$0.0863-1.71%BNBBNB$604.12-0.70%XRPXRP$1.13-1.28%

Notícias Relacionadas

Google's DiffusionGemma Boosts AI Text Generation on NVIDIA GPUsBlockchain.NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsGoogle Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.NewsNvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto NewsBig tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindeskModern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraph

Regras

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.