2026 Midterms Election Weirdness
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 2026IA2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 15 de out. de 2026, 15:23 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualMarket chaos 69.2%Líder entre 19 opções
Previsores
37
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado9/07/25, 23:03 UTC4/01/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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This is intended to capture whether any of the weird edge cases surround the election and seating of the next Congress come to pass, especially focused on things that might cause other markets to resolve in unexpected or apparently contradictory ways.
- These scenarios cover Congressional elections only; State or local elections are not included.
- Details where they might be needed:
- The start of the term is Noon on Jan 3rd, 2027.
- The first day is the actual first day -- Jan 3rd, or later if so decided by law.
- Major news organizations: AP, CNN, Fox, ABC, CBS, NBC.
