What will really exactly happen in the 2026 midterms election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202620d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 15 de out. de 2026, 10:21 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualDemocrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives 89%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+5.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado7/10/26, 21:05 UTC4/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each answer resolves independently to YES, NO, or N/A based on the outcomes of the United States midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
- Resolutions will be determined using official state election certifications and consensus projections from major news networks, primarily the Associated Press (AP).
- Specific Rules for Current Options:
- "the named outcome" / "the named outcome": Resolves to YES for whichever party wins at least 218 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives for the 110th United States Congress.
