Will Republicans win the 2026 midterms election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202620d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 15 de out. de 2026, 18:01 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 96%
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5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado7/10/26, 18:48 UTC4/11/26, 23:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party wins and/or retains a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in either the House of Representatives, the Senate, or both.
- Specific Resolution Rules:
- U.S. House of Representatives: A party is deemed to control the House if they win at least 218 of the 435 voting seats.
- U.S. Senate: A party is deemed to control the Senate if they secure at least 51 seats, or 50 seats if they hold the tie-breaking vote of the Vice President (the Republican Vice President holds the tie-breaker for the upcoming 120th Congress).