LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 25 de ago. de 2026, 12:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 87.5%
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
25/08/26, 12:0231/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 13%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 13% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+3.0pt87.1%
- Yes-3.0pt12.9%
- Volume total
- € 53,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-6.2pt70%
- October 31-9.5pt50%
- September 30-13.0pt25%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25100%
- August 31+1.4pt97%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-1.1pt19.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-5.0pt63%
- December-7.0pt46%
- September 30,-4.0pt18%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt17%
- October 3111%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+9 mais resultados
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- A Limitless cota No em 88% em 28 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Limitless liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Polymarket.