KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 28 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
At least 28 91%Líder entre 8 opções
At least 28 91%Qualidade do mercado
53 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
3,2 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 28Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
13/11/26, 15:45 UTC3/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 28
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiSchumer out of senate by 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 40 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Senate DemocratsThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- The first ballot is the first ballot held by the Senate Democratic caucus to elect its leader for the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on it, as reported by a Source Agency. If the caucus elects Chuck Schumer its leader without a ballot (for example by acclamation, voice vote or unanimous consent), the count is the number of senators and senators-elect in the Senate Democratic caucus, including independents who caucus with Democrats. A report that Chuck Schumer was elected unanimously that gives no number and does not say a ballot was held counts as an election without a ballot, unless a Source Agency reports that a ballot was held. The count is 0 if no ballot is held before Jan 3, 2027 and Chuck Schumer is not elected without one. If Chuck Schumer withdraws, the count is the number of votes cast for him on the first ballot, and 0 if none were cast. Only an exact number reported by a Source Agency counts; a range, a margin or an approximate number does not. If a ballot is held but no Source Agency reports the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to the last fair price as solely determined by the Exchange. If Source Agencies report different counts, the count reported by the Source Agency listed first is used. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Chuck Schumer on a later ballot A motion or voice vote after a ballot to make the result unanimous Votes cast for any other candidate, or abstentions
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 28
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 28 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 24
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 24 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 32
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 32 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 36
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 36 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 40
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 40 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 44
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 44 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 48 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 52 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
