Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Schumer out of senate by 2029??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 73.8% em 15 de novembro de 2026.

Quando Schumer out of senate by 2029? é resolvido?

Schumer out of senate by 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de janeiro de 2029.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Chuck Schumer is the current Senate Minority Leader as leader of the Democratic Caucus.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 73.8%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 51 minutos

Atrasado

3/01/26, 05:57 UTC4/01/29, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Chuck Schumer is the current Senate Minority Leader as leader of the Democratic Caucus.

Many are dissatisfied with his leadership, especially after the deal that ended the shutdown in the fall of 2025.
There have been calls for him to resign and/or be primaried, especially by more progressive and anti-establishment voters in the Democratic Party.
This Market will resolve to YES if Chuck Schumer is no longer a US senator by the beginning of the 121st congress in 2029.
This could be due to his resignation or failure to be re-elected or his death.
If Schumer declines to run for reelection in 2028, this market will be resolved early.