KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 0.7% 1%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
436,1 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
11.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
28/08/26, 18:00 UTC30/09/26, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill September 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsAugust 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
KalshiWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026?
KalshiUS headline CPI inflation in December 2035
KalshiRegras
If the headline PCE inflation for August 2026 is above
Liquida via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Resolution will use the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, including food and energy, published in the Personal Income and Outlays release for August 2026.
- The first officially published August 2026 value will be used.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market outcome.
- 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 554,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,8 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Above 0.7% em 1% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026 é resolvido?
- Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the headline PCE inflation for August 2026 is above