KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 334.300 95%Líder entre 25 opções
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8,3 mil €
Liquidez
37,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
16/08/26, 19:0011/09/26, 12:29
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:BLS - CPI-U
- The Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for August 2026.
- Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for August 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for August 2026.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 36,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- € 6,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 64,4 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 106,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
KALSHIHow high will inflation get this year?
- At least 4.5%-4.8pt25%
- At least 5.5%-5.0pt17%
- At least 5.0%-8.2pt13%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CPI-U index in August?
- A Kalshi cota Above 334.300 em 95% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando CPI-U index in August é resolvido?
- CPI-U index in August deverá ser resolvido em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Como CPI-U index in August é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.