Probabilidade implícita atual
0.5% - 0.6% 33%+0.5ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
57 €
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
11/08/26, 4:549/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
- This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 36,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- € 6,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 64,4 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 106,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 45,6 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de August Inflation China - Annual?
- A Polymarket cota 0.5% - 0.6% em 33% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando August Inflation China - Annual é resolvido?
- August Inflation China - Annual deverá ser resolvido em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Como August Inflation China - Annual é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.