KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 97%
Qualidade do mercado
47 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
387,3 €
Liquidez
13 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
- / 3.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
11/08/26, 21:3011/09/26, 12:25
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 36,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- € 6,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 64,4 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 106,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 45,6 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 97% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? é resolvido?
- Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.