KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Before Oct 1, 2026 (92%)
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Oct 1, 2026 92%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
10,2 mil €
Liquidez
9,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
96.0% / 98.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado8/09/26, 06:48 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Before Oct 1, 202692%
Before Jan 1, 202765%
92%
91%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
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PolymarketRegras
If OpenAI announces a complete solution, developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:OpenAI
- The qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution.
- The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem.
- Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it.
- Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution.
- Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution??
- A Kalshi cota Before Oct 1, 2026 em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution? é resolvido?
- Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If OpenAI announces a complete solution, developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.