KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,7 €
Liquidez
8,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
6/06/25, 20:45 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump nationalize elections?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegras
If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:relevant federal courtsofficial White House press pool reportsthe United States CongressFederal RegisterSecurities and Exchange CommissionBoard of Governors of the Federal ReserveDepartment of the TreasuryDepartment of Justice Office of the Pardon AttorneyNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Please see full rules for details.
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 103,1 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- € 57,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 57,4 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 817,9 mil
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump nationalize SpaceX??
- A Kalshi cota No em 96% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? é resolvido?
- Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.