PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%+0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
47 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
12,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
5
Variação 7d
-2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado4/02/26, 22:3131/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state.
- Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump nationalize elections??
- A Polymarket cota No em 96% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump nationalize elections? é resolvido?
- Will Trump nationalize elections? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump nationalize elections? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.