KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Alme, 5+ pts 82%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
608,3 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
8/09/26, 18:37 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Montana Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 15-18% 16%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Montana Senate margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota Alme, 5+ pts em 82% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Montana Senate margin of victory é resolvido?
- Montana Senate margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Montana Senate margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Montana Senate margin of victory está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.