KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualDemocrats, 4+ pts 91%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
663 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
90.0% / 93.0%
Spread
3.3%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
29/04/26, 14:003/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democrats, 4+ pts91%
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KALSHIFlorida's 21st District margin of victory
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244,7 €Republicans, 4+ pts: 39%KALSHI
KALSHIMissouri's 5th District margin of victory
218,6 €Republicans, 6+ pts: 58%KALSHI
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.