PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Republican 15-18% 15.9%Líder entre 11 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
76,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+2.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
5/08/26, 16:38 UTC3/11/26, 12:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Montana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMontana Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana senate election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Montana Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate winner?
KalshiRegras
The 2026 Montana Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Montana Senate margin of victory · Alme, 5+ pts 82%
Mercados abertos
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- Jon Ossoff16%
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- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
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- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory?
- A Polymarket cota Republican 15-18% em 16% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory é resolvido?
- Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The 2026 Montana Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Onde mais Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.