Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualRepublicans 97%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado22/01/26, 06:24 UTC4/11/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race, will a Republican win?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMontana Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Montana senate election?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegras
Update 2026-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a third party candidate wins, the market resolves N/A
- If a party does not nominate a candidate, the market resolves to the winning party once officially called
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 615,5 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 mais resultados
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race??
- A Manifold Markets cota Republicans em 97% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race? é resolvido?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Which Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2026-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a third party candidate wins, the market resolves N/A