KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Graham, 1+ pts 86%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,4 mil €
Liquidez
15,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
28/04/26, 01:03 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 615,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 730,5 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 643,3 mil
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+37.0pt52.1%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.6pt46.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 mais resultados
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14,5 mi
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt93%
- Yes-1.2pt7%
- Volume total
- € 19,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 483,5 mil
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de South Carolina Senate margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota Graham, 1+ pts em 86% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando South Carolina Senate margin of victory é resolvido?
- South Carolina Senate margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como South Carolina Senate margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.