KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 21:05 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
September 7 19%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
6,4 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
4/09/26, 16:30 UTC15/09/26, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
If Sep 7, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
- If Sep 8, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sep 9, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,6 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,5 mil
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- A Kalshi cota September 7 em 19% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) é resolvido?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) deverá ser resolvido em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Sep 7, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.