KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: October 23 (14%)
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 28 de out. de 2026, 14:12 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
October 1915%
October 2314%
October 201%
October 2134%
October 2212%
October 241%
October 21Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 34% ·
October 19Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 15% ·
October 23Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 14% ·
October 22Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 12% ·
October 25Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 3% ·
October 20Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 1% ·
October 24Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 1% ·
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If Oct 23, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
Regras de cada resultado
- October 21
- If Oct 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 19
- If Oct 19, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 23
- If Oct 23, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 22
- If Oct 22, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 25
- If Oct 25, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 20
- If Oct 20, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 24
- If Oct 24, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.