KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 4.2% 27.1%+8.0ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
41 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
2,3 mil €
Liquidez
28,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
10.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
10/04/26, 23:00 UTC1/01/27, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.2% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.3% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.4% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.5% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.6% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.7% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 94,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,3 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 646,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 92,2 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting54.6%
- September Meeting-1.0pt45.4%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes70.3%
- No29.7%
- Volume total
- € 7,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 24,6 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 382,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 24,3 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%+3.5pt50%
- 0.3%-1.0pt33.6%
- ≥0.5%-0.5pt12.5%
+6 mais resultados
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get this year?
- PPI YoY in August
- CPI-U index in August
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 3.2% in August 2026?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How high will CPI get this year??
- A Kalshi cota Above 4.2% em 27% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How high will CPI get this year? é resolvido?
- How high will CPI get this year? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como How high will CPI get this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.2% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.