KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · —
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Preço registado
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 36.5%Líder entre 14 opções
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 36.5%Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1 mil €
Contratos em aberto
676,1 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Jean-Luc MélenchonSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 24 minutos
12/10/26, 20:00 UTC18/04/28, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Jean-Luc Mélenchon
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PolymarketRegras
If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Conseil constitutionnel
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 2nd, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Regras de cada resultado
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Lisnard
- If David Lisnard finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Éric Zemmour
- If Éric Zemmour finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Ruffin
- If François Ruffin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Tondelier
- If Marine Tondelier finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xavier Bertrand
- If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.