KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Marine Le Pen · —
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Preço registado
Marine Le Pen 81%Líder entre 14 opções
Marine Le Pen 81%Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
23,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Marine Le PenSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 38 minutos
12/10/26, 20:00 UTC18/04/28, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Marine Le Pen
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If Marine Le Pen finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Conseil constitutionnel
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 1st, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Regras de cada resultado
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xavier Bertrand
- If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Ruffin
- If François Ruffin finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Tondelier
- If Marine Tondelier finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Éric Zemmour
- If Éric Zemmour finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Lisnard
- If David Lisnard finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
