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Dados de 14 de nov. de 2026, 00:24 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% · —
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Preço registado
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% 22.5%Líder entre 8 opções
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% 22.5%Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto
1,3 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
11/11/26, 22:30 UTC28/02/30, 13:29 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsCPI YoY in November
KalshiRegras
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and CPI inflation refers to the 12-month percent change in the all items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, for December 2029, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to one decimal place in its December 2029 CPI release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), CPI inflation (YOYCPI). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “2.0% to 2.9%” includes both 2.0% and 2.9%, “4.0% or above” includes 4.0%, and “1.9% or below” includes 1.9%. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
Regras de cada resultado
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
