KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 14 de set. de 2026, 11:35 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaCompra / Venda
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
11/09/26, 23:30 UTC14/10/26, 12:25 UTC
Tendências
100%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
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KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI MoM - September 2026
PolymarketRegras
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 128,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 29 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29 mil
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- A Kalshi cota No em 100% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? é resolvido?
- Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.