KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Reserve Bank of New Zealand 99%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,7 mil €
Liquidez
23,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 39 minutos
15/05/26, 21:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal ReserveEuropean Central BankBank of EnglandBank of JapanBank of CanadaReserve Bank of AustraliaReserve Bank of New ZealandNorges BankRiksbankSwiss National Bank
- A rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting.
- Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.
- The market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.
- If the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.
- If the the named outcome raising the Bank Rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 59,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,2 mi
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+6.0pt51.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45.7%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt50.2%
- Fed maintains rate-5.0pt44%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 247,7 mil
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before July 2027+2.0pt80%
- Before 2028-1.0pt80%
- Before 2027+7.0pt71%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,8 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt66.3%
- No-1.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- € 7,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 43,9 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.4pt88%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt3%
+10 mais resultados
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed decision in September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- A Kalshi cota Reserve Bank of New Zealand em 99% em 31 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Which central banks will hike before 2027? é resolvido?
- Which central banks will hike before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Which central banks will hike before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.