KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 22:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above $215,000 0%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
36 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
29/08/26, 21:30 UTC21/05/27, 13:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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ForecastExRegras
If the the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:National Association for Law Placement
- The Underlying is the national median first-year associate base salary reported for the largest law-firm-size category in NALP’s 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey. “Largest law-firm-size category” means the category in NALP’s national firm-size breakdown with the highest minimum number of lawyers.
- For example, the largest category in the 2025 survey was firms with more than 700 lawyers.
- If NALP changes its firm-size categories in the 2027 survey, the largest category reported by NALP will be used.
- Resolution will use base salary only.
- Bonuses, benefits, summer-associate compensation, clerkship bonuses, total compensation, and inflation adjustments will not be considered.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 77,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,5 mil
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
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- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
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- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Median Big Law starting salary in 2027?
- A Kalshi cota Above $215,000 em 0% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 é resolvido?
- Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 21 de maio de 2027.
- Como Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.