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Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 22:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Magnitude of at least 6.6 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Magnitude of at least 6.6 11.5%Líder entre 10 opções
Magnitude of at least 6.6 11.5%Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
9,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
8,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Magnitude of at least 6.6Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado28/10/26, 20:00 UTC29/10/26, 00:44 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Magnitude of at least 5.2Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 96% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 40% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 22% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 27% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Ganhou
Antes do encerramento: 98% ·
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Magnitude of at least 6.6
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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KalshiRegras
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regras de cada resultado
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 29, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.