Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
4.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolítica comercialGeopolítica5d
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 150 94%+4.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Above 150 94%+4.0ptQualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,5 mil €
Contratos em aberto
10,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
25/09/26, 16:30 UTC6/10/26, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessRegras
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 150
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 175
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 225 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.